Insights from LCM Capital Management on markets, investor behavior, and practical portfolio decisions.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. How many times have you either heard this or read this line when looking at or into an investment opportunity?
We have written in past blogs but it bears repeating the often referred to, but rarely adhered to, cliché above in light of all of the recent market volatility as well as the "experts" calling for the "great rotation" out of tech or the long-awaited market collapse.
"One of these days, Alice—pow! Straight to the moon!” This iconic phrase was used almost daily by Ralph Kramden to his wife, Alice, in the 1950s sitcom, The Honeymooners. Yes, I realize I’m dating myself here, and very possibly most of you reading this, but today this phrase would be only slightly edited with "Alice" supplanted by "client’s name" and the "moon" would now be "Mars."
If you have read any of our previous articles or blogs over the years you know that my firm, LCM Capital Management, despises mutual funds, particularly those that are actively traded. The reasons are many: fees, both seen and unseen, taxes which are uncontrollable, fund of funds and right down to what they own inside of them versus what the fund description states it invests in.
The legendary hall of fame catcher, Yogi Berra, made famous the following quote from Danish Nobel laureate, Niels Bohr, "it's tough to make predictions, especially about the future."
Back in June of 2025, we wrote an article entitled, The Hottest Party on Wall Street is One You Might Not Want an Invite To. The party referenced was Private Credit. Fast forward only a few short months and it now appears that someone knocked over the punchbowl.
Conviction is contagious, which is exactly what makes it dangerous. A reflection on how narratives can spread and influence investor decisions.
A look at the ongoing market bubble conversation and what investors should consider instead of following loud predictions.
Why market forecasts are often wrong, and why disciplined investing usually beats reacting to pundits.
An investor-focused perspective on fear, planning, and how to respond to uncertainty with a clear long-term strategy.
A cautionary review of private credit, private REITs, and other products marketed as exclusive opportunities.
Most investors know the phrase, but this post challenges whether behavior in real life matches the principle.
A critique of annual market predictions and why investors should avoid over-relying on expert forecasts.
An evidence-based review of election-year narratives and their real relationship to portfolio performance.
Why economic forecasts can shift quickly, and why investor decisions should be guided by process over prediction.
LCM's case for using individual bonds, CDs, and Treasuries over pooled fixed-income vehicles in many scenarios.
A practical explanation of how tax outcomes can still hurt investors during down years and how to think ahead.
The personal story and philosophy behind helping investors make better long-term financial decisions.
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